Friday, September 11, 2009

Don't bank on it, says Barry

Bloomberg ran the story, Investment Bank Profits May Drop on Regulations, JPMorgan Says.

Barry Ritholtz read the JPM report and was not swayed:
With the least amount of regulatory oversight in generations in the 1990s and 2000s, bank profits were less than zero — indeed, their losses were so great that many of the biggest financial institutions bankrupted themselves.

Banks were allowed to set their own leverage, determine their own risk levels, and control their own fate more than anytime in history. And quite bluntly, they blew it.

Stop and consider the simple fact that with much less regulation, the bank profits were less than zero — their losses were so massive they bankrupted themselves.

They require oversight as they have proven beyond any doubt they are incapable of handling themselves, managing risk, to the point where they blew themselves up.

2 Comments:

Blogger Unknown said...

Guambat:
This is a perfect expression of Schumpeter's creative destruction at work. In this case generated internally, not by an external agent, but surely by the invisible hand of market wisdom. Deregulation may be our most effective control after all. When greed is left to run its course it works like giving unlimited booze, heroin or ice cream to those who cannot resist. It is sad that the damage spreads to the innocent. But caveat emptor!

11 September 2009 at 2:37:00 am GMT+10  
Blogger Guambat Stew said...

Welcome in from the cold, Captain Jack!

Guambat likes the creative destruction idea, as sort of academic, ceteris paribus theory, but: first, it presumes destruction, not bail out and externally guaranteed resurrection, and, second, it is a hard sell to the passengers on the ship.

Guambat

11 September 2009 at 3:19:00 am GMT+10  

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