Sunday, February 27, 2011

Divide and conquer - With Prequel

UPDATE NOTE: This following story is related enough to the subject of this post as to mention here rather than a new post, and serves better to introduce this post than Post Script it:

Plutocracy Now: What Wisconsin Is Really About
Income inequality has grown dramatically since the mid-'70s -- the bulk of our growing inequality has been a product of skyrocketing incomes among the richest 1 percent and—even more dramatically—among the top 0.1 percent. It has, in other words, been CEOs and Wall Street traders at the very tippy-top who are hoovering up vast sums of money from everyone, even those who by ordinary standards are pretty well off.

American politicians don't care much about voters with moderate incomes. relentless concentration of wealth and power among the rich is deeply corrosive in a democracy, and this makes it a profoundly political problem as well.

How did we get here? In the past, after all, liberal politicians did make it their business to advocate for the working and middle classes, and they worked that advocacy through the Democratic Party. But they largely stopped doing this in the '70s, leaving the interests of corporations and the wealthy nearly unopposed.

it's not that the working class has abandoned Democrats. It's just the opposite: The Democratic Party has largely abandoned the working class.

because politicians don't respond to the concerns of voters, they respond to the organized muscle of institutions that represent them. With labor in decline, both parties now respond strongly to the interests of the rich—whose institutional representation is deep and energetic—and barely at all to the interests of the working and middle classes.

This has produced three decades of commercial and financial deregulation that started during the administration of a Democrat, Jimmy Carter, gained steam throughout the Reagan era, and continued under Bill Clinton. There were a lot of ways America could have responded to the twin challenges of '70s-era stagflation and the globalization of finance, but the policies we chose almost invariably ignored the stagnating wages of the middle class and instead catered to the desires of the superrich

Income volatility has risen dramatically over the past 30 years. The odds of experiencing a 50 percent drop in family income have more than doubled since 1970, and this volatility has increased for both high school and college grads. At the same time, traditional pensions have almost completely disappeared

This didn't all happen thanks to a sinister 30-year plan hatched in a smoke-filled room, and it can't be reined in merely by exposing it to the light. It's a story about power. It's about the loss of a countervailing power robust enough to stand up to the influence of business interests and the rich on equal terms. With that gone, the response to every new crisis and every new change in the economic landscape has inevitably pointed in the same direction. And after three decades, the cumulative effect of all those individual responses is an economy focused almost exclusively on the demands of business and finance.

For this to change, America needs a countervailing power as big, crude, and uncompromising as organized labor used to be.

But what?

Over the past 40 years, the American left has built an enormous institutional infrastructure dedicated to mobilizing money, votes, and public opinion on social issues, and this has paid off with huge strides in civil rights, feminism, gay rights, environmental policy, and more. But the past two years have demonstrated that that isn't enough. If the left ever wants to regain the vigor that powered earlier eras of liberal reform, it needs to rebuild the infrastructure of economic populism that we've ignored for too long. Figuring out how to do that is the central task of the new decade.

Now back to the original post:

Guambat is unimpressed with the tempest in Wisconsin, and elsewhere. Unimpressed with the base cynicism of it. It's a classic case of the big money guys playing around with a divide and conquer tactic. Don't fall for it.


The pitch is being made that state and local governments just cannot afford the overly paid workers on their payroll. It's a pitch aimed to divide middle class, many of who are tea sippers, many of whom are laid off, many of whom are in uninspiring government employment.

And the cynical little game is getting some traction, based on this article:

GOP governors gambling on challenge to public-sector unions
Michael Wernick, 61, a longtime body and fender man, says his financial fortunes have gone nowhere but down over the past decade. His salary is stagnant, and his 401(k) has shrunk, derailing his retirement plans.

So as he watches Gov. Scott Walker (R) take on the public-employee unions by not only demanding steep reductions in their pension and health-care benefits but by also insisting they give up many of their collective-bargaining rights, Wernick is quietly cheering him on.

"Maybe there is a little bit of jealousy here, but public workers have what I don't have."

But do public workers really have what private sectors don't have? Maybe in individual cases, but across the board, it's hardly a clear story.

For instance, The Business Insider, hardly a screaming socialist union voice, has this:

For Anyone Who Thinks Wisconsin State Workers Are Overpaid...
Paul Ryan and everyone else freaking out at the Wisconsin's striking state employees keep getting one fact wrong.

Wisconsin's public sector workers get paid LESS than the private sector.

You can see this in a couple of charts from economist Menzie Chinn. First, national compensation by education level. Public workers earn less at every level except for high school dropouts.

Second, here's how this breaks down in Wisconsin. Real annual compensation is 4.8% lower for public sector workers.

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/wisconsin-public-sector-wages-2011-2#ixzz1FE9SzfX1

And this perspective:

Comparing Public and Private Sector Compensation over 20 Years, April 2010
The current recession and the resulting fiscal difficulties faced by state and local governments have renewed interest in the compensation of the public workforce in regard to pay, pensions, and other benefits. In this report we examine the extent to which state and local government compensation in the United States is comparable to compensation in the private sector.

The analysis finds that:

• Public and private workforces differ in important ways. For instance, jobs in the public sector require much more education on average than those in the private sector. Employees in state and local sectors are twice as likely as their private sector counterparts to have a college or advanced degree.

• Wages and salaries of state and local employees are lower than those for private sector workers with comparable earnings determinants (e.g., education). State employees typically earn 11 percent less; local workers earn 12 percent less.

• Over the last 20 years, the earnings for state and local employees have generally declined relative to comparable private sector employees.

• The pattern of declining relative compensation remains true in most of the large states we examined, although some state-level variation exists.

• Benefits (e.g., pensions) comprise a greater share of employee compensation in the public sector.

• State and local employees have lower total compensation than their private sector counterparts. On average, total compensation is 6.8 percent lower for state employees and 7.4 percent lower for local workers, compared with comparable private sector employees.

On the other hand, the big boys have this to say,

Employee Compensation in State and Local Governments
State and local governments face large budget deficits
as revenues have stagnated and spending has remained at
high levels.

To reduce deficits, large savings can be found
in the generous compensation packages of the nation’s Fat Cat Finance and Industry Management
20
million state and local workers.

In 2008, wages and
benefits of $1.1 trillion accounted for half of total state and
local government spending. This bulletin examines state
and local compensation costs, with a focus on the lucrative
pensions enjoyed by public sector workers.

Public sector pay averaged $39.66 per hour in 2009, which
was 45 percent higher than the private sector average. The
public sector advantage was 34 percent in wages and 70
percent in benefits.

So, we all know that there are lies, damned lies and statistics, but what is the smoke and mirrors going on here?

Ezra Klein has sort of a bead on it:

Are Wisconsin's state and local workers overpaid?
Consider this analysis the Economic Policy Institute conducted comparing total compensation -- that is to say, wages and health-care benefits and pensions -- among public and private workers in Wisconsin. To get an apples-to-apples comparison, the study's author controlled for experience, organizational size, gender, race, ethnicity, citizenship and disability, and then sorted the results by education. Here's what he got:

"Wisconsin public-sector workers face an annual compensation penalty of 11%. Adjusting for the slightly fewer hours worked per week on average, these public workers still face a compensation penalty of 5% for choosing to work in the public sector."

The deal that unions, state government and -- by extension -- state residents have made to defer the compensation of public employees was a bad deal -- but it was a bad deal for the public employees, not for the state government.

State and local governments were able to hire better workers now by promising higher pay later. They essentially hired on an installment plan.

And now they might not follow through on it. The ones who got played here are the public employees, not the residents of the various states. The residents of the various states, when all is said and done, will probably have gotten the work at a steep discount. They'll force a renegotiation of the contracts and blame overprivileged public employees for resisting shared sacrifice.

State and local budgets are in bad shape. They'll need deep reforms across a variety of categories, from tax increases to service cuts to changes to employee compensation.

But the focus on public employees -- and the accompanying narrative that they're greedy and overcompensated -- obscures a lot of that: It makes it seem as if the decisions that have to be made are easy and costless and can be shunted onto an interest group that some of us, at least, don't like.

It's the Republican version of when liberals suggest we can balance the budget simply by increasing taxes on the rich. But it's not true.

Guambat begins to suspect this whole thing is an effort to shift focus from the big bucks the big guys make. Stir up a battle in the suburbs and who knows what's going on in the yacht harbor?

For instance, remember the publicity about the huge CEO and other highflyer pay packets? Well, now, if we can just pit the ex-body mechanic against the local teacher, they won't be paying much attention to that little item, which is steadily returning to business as usual

And this disparity of the big money at the top is most likely what is behind the lies being spread around as statistics, as in this:

Federal salaries fall behind private sector, panel says
Official numbers released by the government late last week show salaries of federal workers falling slightly farther behind their private-sector counterparts in the last year, by an average of 2.1 percent across the country.

The government's numbers also show that higher-paid, more senior employees tend to fall behind their counterparts at private companies, whereas lower-paid employees in government come out ahead.

The non-government jobs often include bonuses or incentive pay in financial services and other industries, which helps skew those salaries up,said Allan G. Hearne, pay expert with the Office of Personnel Management.

"The highest-paid federal employee makes $400,000 a year," said Philip M. Doyle, assistant commissioner for compensation for the Bureau of Labor Statistics, referring to the president.

"There's a cap on federal salaries that's going to keep the higher end from going too high."

This story was picked up by the Federal Computer Weekly, which noted such studies were being hotly contested by the usual suspects:

Federal vs. private pay: The latest take on who makes more
These numbers, compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, are likely to be hotly contested. USA Today issued a report in March that said the typical federal worker is paid 20 percent more than a private-sector employee in the same occupation. Salary figures listed by USA Today did not include benefits such as health insurance and pensions.

The CATO Institute, a libertarian think tank, arrived at a similar conclusion, as did The Heritage Foundation, another conservative association, which also issued a report stating that federal employees earn 22 percent more in hourly wages than the private sector, reported FCW on July 26. Republicans had cited these earlier reports as examples of overspending in the government.

BLS’ report also found different pay disparities based on an employees’ level, with higher-paid executives experiencing a larger wage gap than lower-paid employees, who may earn more than those in the private sector, the Post states.

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Friday, October 29, 2010

Pay rises across the board

Board of Directors, that is.

FTSE 100 pay packets 'scandalous' when ordinary workers face wage cuts
New figures out today revealed FTSE 100 director pay shot up by 55pc in the 12 months to June. In the FTSE 350, total boardroom pay climbed by 45pc on average, the figures by IDS found.

The statistics came less than 24 hours after a survey by the same consultancy found 16pc of employers were still pushing through pay freezes, effectively passing on pay cuts to staff when inflation was taken into account.

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Tuesday, October 12, 2010

Wall Street is Recession-Proof

The trillion-dollar taxpayer bail-out of Wall Street has worked a treat.

For Wall Street.


For deals like this, Guambat is prepared to dine on moral hazard morning, noon and night.

Wall Street Pay: A Record $144 Billion
Pay on Wall Street is on pace to break a record high for a second consecutive year, according to a study conducted by The Wall Street Journal.

About three dozen of the top publicly held securities and investment-services firms, a 4% increase. Wall Street revenue is expected to rise 3%.

"Until focus of these institutions changes from revenue generation to long-term shareholder value, we will see these outrageous pay packages and compensation levels," said Charles Elson, director of the Weinberg Center for Corporate Governance. Since Wall Street firms pay out up to half of their revenue in compensation, cutting back on that large cost can meaningfully increase profits left for shareholders.

Where revenue falls short, analysts and experts expect that Wall Street will lay off employees in order to keep bonus pools high.

Such nonbank firms like Blackstone Group LP, Och-Ziff Management Group LLC and Fortress Investment Group LLC aren't as scrutinized in Washington. All three firms' revenue and compensation are projected to increase.

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Thursday, October 07, 2010

New Yorkers make it there with less



It's getting harder to make it anywhere, but especially in New York, New York.

Income there has dropped for the first time since the black and white movie days of the Bowery Boys.



Income Posts a Rare Drop
Decline Is the First in 70 Years; 'Recovery Is Fragile...Setbacks Can Be Expected'
New York state residents over the past year have seen their personal income slashed by 3.1%, the first decline in 70 years and a rate almost twice that of other Americans, according to a report released by the state comptroller. Take-home pay fell 5.4% and income from dividends, interest and rent declined 8.4%, the report showed.

And while the state economy has grown every quarter since the second quarter of 2009, pay remains below pre-recession levels, the report said. It largely blamed layoffs on Wall Street, New York City's most important economic engine.

As personal income dips, consumer confidence in New York has also fallen to its lowest level since the spring of 2009, according to the Comptroller's report.

The New York economy has been growing slowly since the second quarter of 2009 and job growth is expected to remain weak, the report said. Much of the job growth has been concentrated in New York City and its suburbs, which have added 90,000 jobs since December 2009. Other parts of the state, however, continue to lose jobs.

In 2007 and 2008, Wall Street lost a record $54 billion, the report said. Thanks to the federal bailout and low interest rates, the industry was able to turn things around in 2009 and reached $61.4 billion in profits. In 2010, Wall Street profits dropped to $3.9 billion in the second quarter.

If you can make it in New York, New York, thank the US taxpayers.

Americans Are Horribly Misinformed About Who Has Money

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Wednesday, July 07, 2010

Most Americans are living on a fixed income

And damned lucky to have it.

But this is not about retired baby boomers, or any other kind of boomers.

This is about thems what's workin'.

Workers' salaries lost ground in past decade
Median weekly wages, when adjusted for inflation, fell slightly for both high school and college graduates from 2000 to 2009, according to a recent analysis by the Economic Policy Institute, a Washington think tank.

For high school graduates, median inflation-adjusted wages were $626 per week in 2009, compared with $629 in 2000, according to EPI. If you assume a worker gets paid for a full year, that adds up to $32,552 in 2009, down from $32,708 in 2000.

For college graduates, weekly wages were $1,025 in 2009, compared with $1,030 in 2000, according to EPI. Over one year, that works out to $53,300 last year, down from $53,560 in 2000.

But the recent recession isn't to blame for the "prolonged period of wage stagnation," according to EPI.

"Between 2002 and December of 2007, the country was in a period of economic expansion and for most of that time, from 2003 through 2007, wages fell," the study said.

"Even with low inflation over the past year we have seen wages lagging," Bivens said. "The recession is so deep and widespread that even those close to the top of [the income scale] will do much worse than they have been accustomed to doing. The pain will not be spread evenly, but it will be the very fortunate worker who does not see slower wage growth."

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Saturday, February 06, 2010

earning big money in the private sector

Perhaps taking a page out of the Australian Wheat Board's book (and whatever became of that?), Scott Anthony Walker, a 36 year old ex-Australian Army soldier, has been jailed for nine months in the US for his role in a $US900,000 Afghanistan security contract kickback scandal.

Walker took a job as security co-ordinator in Kabul with engineering companies Louis Berger Group and Black & Veatch.

The companies, as a joint venture, won a $US1.4 billion ($A1.62 billion) US government contract and Walker used his position on a committee to attempt to solicit $US900,000 in kickbacks from private security vendors seeking subcontracts.

After leaving the Australian Army, Walker was lured to Afghanistan by the prospect of earning big money in the private sector.

The bloke should have stayed in Australia: AUSTRALIANS' individual wealth rose by an average of more than $10,000 in the last three months of 2009, data from the Reserve Bank revealed on the same day as the share market took its worst plunge in nine months.

And the bloke definitely should have gone into banking, instead:

Goldman Chief Gets Bonus of Only $9 Million in Record Year
The award is well below the $68 million bonus Mr. Blankfein received in 2007, even though 2009 was a record year for the Wall Street bank.

Guambat will lie awake tonight in his burrow fantasizing what it must be like to make $750.000.00 PER MONTH. In a bad year!

Commentary: J.P. Morgan's bonus is low by Wall Street standards
Jamie Dimon's paycheck may be the biggest blow to Wall Street reform this year.

The chairman and chief executive of J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. was awarded a $17 million bonus

The bonus, which is for 2009, is at a level far below previous bonus paydays for Dimon who collected $27.8 million in 2007 and $39.1 million in 2006. But the bonus is up from 2008, when Dimon didn't collect a bonus at all, just a $1 million salary.

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Tuesday, September 20, 2005

Executive wealth creation



There's a very good daily Australian financial newspaper put out by the Fairfax group to which I subscribe. Because I get the print version, I have a license to read it online, as well. But, dear reader, if I link to it you cannot go there without a paid subscription, so I would only rarely cover an article in it at this blog.

That said, I want to report that, according to that paper, "Boards are bracing for an investor backlash against executive salaries at annual meetings... as investors for the first time exerecise an advisory vote on company 'remunerations reports'. In the reports, boards must outline how they set executives' pay, explain how it is tied to performance and disclose the packages of their top 10 executives in greater detail than before...." (AFR, 19 Sep.)

Now this is where we need to start paying attention, because this performance thing is pretty tricky in this circumstance. You will have heard the old saw that a rising tide lifts all boats? That's what we have to watch for. Think back to the chart posted earlier today, showing the whole Aussie market has been rising. If a company's value rises because the whole market, or a particular segment of it, is rising, does that represent "performance"? Do you reckon the guys on the lower rungs get that increase lauded in their performance reports?

In addition to the coincidental rising values, there is a similar boat lifting exercise that moves executive and board pay in a lock-step fashion. Think of the locks in overland canals that manage the flow of water to carry boats up hill. Think back to this quote: "compares favourably with the fee pools of Australian companies of comparable size". http://guambatstew.blogspot.com/2005/09/time-to-pay-fiddlers.html

Now, I'm one who does believe that a good executive is due a good wage. I don't begrudge a well paid exec her due. But I think boards should be as disciplined in setting executive pay as the executives are in setting lower rung pay, and that all employees should share, if any do, in the rising and falling tides. Because, really, it is the shareholders who should get the greatest benefit of rising tides, as they take the greatest hit on falling tides, such tidal flows being what market risk taking is all about.

Trackback this topic on this blog: http://guambatstew.blogspot.com/2005/08/eye-of-beholder.html

http://guambatstew.blogspot.com/2005/08/dont-mention-executive-pay.html

For more reading (some only tangentially related to this post):

http://www.abc.net.au/worldtoday/content/2005/s1455911.htm

http://www.manifest.co.uk/news/2004/20040510Forbes.htm

http://www.iccwbo.org/CorpGov/stories/July_23_2003-36.asp

http://www.heraldsun.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,5478,16657767%255E664,00.html

http://www.businessweek.com/ap/financialnews/D8CNF3R02.htm?campaign_id=apn_tech_down&chan=tc

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Wednesday, August 31, 2005

Eye of the beholder







With the Forbes CEO confab kicking off here today in Sydney, I'm going to brush aside my admonition (http://guambatstew.blogspot.com/2005/08/dont-mention-executive-pay.html) and ask, what do you think is an "appropriate" multiple of executive pay over production worker pay? That is, if a production worker is making, say, $10.00/hr, what multiple of that is reasonable/moral/appropriate/etc. for the CEO? Five times ($50.00/hr), 10 times ($100/hr), 20 times ($200/hr), 50 times ($500/hr), ONE HUNDRED times ($1,000/hr)...?

Bear in mind, in both cases of production worker and CEO we are talking about employees. We are not talking about the owner of the shop. The owners, to whom is owed the profits of the company, are the shareholders. Moreover, we are talking in both cases about people who are adding value to the bottom line (presumably), and who are part of a team; neither of them can produce a profit alone or without the other.


Some would say
“[The level of] executive compensation is in the eye of the beholder.”
(http://www.chiefexecutive.net/depts/compensation/189.htm) This 2003 article, from Chief Executive Magazine, is an interesting and valuable look at the issue.

The folks at CNNMoney have just reported on a more recent look at the issue:
"In 2004, the ratio of average CEO pay to the average pay of a production (i.e., non-management) worker was 431-to-1, up from 301-to-1 in 2003, according to "Executive Excess," an annual report released Tuesday by the liberal research groups United for a Fair Economy and the Institute for Policy Studies." http://money.cnn.com/2005/08/26/news/economy/ceo_pay/index.htm

At a multiple of 431 times, compared to a production worker making $10/hr, the CEO's pay would be $4,310/hr. And good on 'em, too, eh? It's the trickle up theory.

I don't know if I can properly define obscenity in terms of executive pay, but I feel pretty darn sure I know it when I see it.

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Monday, August 22, 2005

Don't mention executive pay


"Normally, as employees are able to produce more in each hour of work, the result is greater cash flow that can be divvied up between workers and owners or investors. In the long run, rising productivity means rising wages and living standards.
But in the short run, "most of the gains in the economy have gone into profits rather than wages," says Mr. Behravesh.
The latest numbers from the Labor Department, in fact, show average weekly earnings for US workers have fallen by 0.5 percent in the past year, after adjusting for inflation." http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/0822/p01s03-usec.html

Income disparity is an issue in China: http://en.chinabroadcast.cn/855/2005/08/22/50@11657.htm

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